Untick any bet that is off the table. Bets 1 to 3 come from the case model; bets 4 to 8 are my illustrative assumptions for ranking. Evidence, fit and risk are scored 1 to 5.
| Bet | Month-12 rev | Year-1 cost |
|---|
Weights decide the ranking. The budget decides how many top bets get funded (at most three at a time). The team of four costs and comes out of the budget first.
Default $6.0M is about 9% of the $70M raise (my assumption). Default budget includes contingency above the $5.15M ask.
| # | Bet | Score | Cost | Call |
|---|
Each funded bet runs a test against a pass bar written before launch. Capital moves only at the day-90 gate review with the CEO.
Score = size, evidence, fit with stated direction, speed to signal and low risk, weighted as set in step 2. Calls: Go (funded), Hold (scores 55+ but no budget or slot), Not now (below 55). Revenue is annualised run rate twelve months after a Q1 2027 launch.